Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.726965 0.828771 0.939430 1.068614 1.215265 1.376555 1.567398
2025-05-25 0.553643 0.689545 0.850370 1.054601 1.306989 1.608645 1.996651
2025-06-01 0.460187 0.610144 0.798573 1.052487 1.385578 1.807612 2.383153
2025-06-08 0.398191 0.555715 0.763614 1.057693 1.462736 2.000917 2.770633
2025-06-15 0.353081 0.515205 0.738493 1.067910 1.541178 2.196389 3.172817
2025-06-22 0.306062 0.464911 0.692258 1.040619 1.560462 2.307215 3.461906
2025-06-29 0.268777 0.423593 0.653099 1.017176 1.579645 2.415309 3.751723
2025-07-06 0.234406 0.382330 0.608925 0.980175 1.572523 2.480551 3.978782
2025-07-13 0.225982 0.380400 0.624162 1.035541 1.711596 2.778048 4.588697
2025-07-20 0.216941 0.376231 0.634929 1.083888 1.842549 3.072035 5.216437
2025-07-27 0.208086 0.371246 0.643474 1.128616 1.970370 3.369840 5.873738
2025-08-03 0.196320 0.359914 0.640023 1.152076 2.063306 3.615819 6.462129
2025-08-10 0.177656 0.334861 0.611223 1.129692 2.076424 3.730064 6.837877
2025-08-17 0.162063 0.313840 0.587603 1.114315 2.100504 3.865220 7.262600
2025-08-24 0.150081 0.298259 0.572183 1.112078 2.147454 4.043463 7.778474
2025-08-31 0.140343 0.285951 0.561571 1.117573 2.208681 4.251573 8.365753
2025-09-07 0.132179 0.275887 0.554199 1.128360 2.280409 4.484017 9.017239
2025-09-14 0.120265 0.257063 0.528035 1.099547 2.271657 4.561334 9.371236
2025-09-21 0.109981 0.240581 0.505002 1.074797 2.268465 4.648334 9.750135
2025-09-28 0.099273 0.222147 0.476332 1.035732 2.232283 4.666100 9.988260
2025-10-05 0.098716 0.225596 0.493344 1.094186 2.404363 5.118996 11.165160
2025-10-12 0.097375 0.227165 0.506443 1.145229 2.564625 5.559165 12.349432
2025-10-19 0.095677 0.227753 0.517421 1.192449 2.720242 6.000857 13.571234